Barack Obama’s gamble on Abortion and Contraception, designed to force Catholic Charities to provide coverage for both, with no exemption for religious institutions, is hailed by most commentators as a stupid blunder. I’m not so sure. It might be a very savvy and calculated gamble. Like Bill Belichick in the Superbowl, trading points for time. Obama’s gamble is to trade Catholics for women. It might already be paying off.
A recent Quinnipiac University poll shows Obama rebounding markedly in Virginia, winning 47% against Romney’s 43% of registered voters, against Romney at 44% vs. Obama at 42%. Obama leads Ron Paul 47-40, Newt by 51-37, and Santorum by 49-41.
Obama’s gamble is that Abortion and contraception, and the preservation of that right at will, is the most important issue for most Women voters. That even above the economy, and everything else, they will vote for him because he is the most willing to preserve it. Even picking fights with Catholics to expand that right. He might just be right.
As the Susan G. Komen Foundation discovered, even above Breast Cancer, most women feel Abortion is sacrosanct. Untouchable. And any desire to even avoid extending that right is a sin against them. Why?
Because, as Obama argues, women don’t want to be “punished with a baby.” Or let me rephrase that: punished with a baby conceived by a Beta Male. That’s a horrible thing. For men, “Knocked Up,” is a comedy. For women, a horror show. No wonder female star Katherine Heigl hated the movie. An attractive woman like herself, paired up with … Seth Rogen? Horrors. Even worse … bearing his child.
Only this deep need for a safety net if all goes wrong, and a Beta Male impregnates a woman, can explain the desire for women to constantly increase Abortion. Feeling like Southerners in the pre-Civil War period that if it does not always expand, it dies. This too explains the animosity tending towards hatred for Evangelical leaders, and particularly those opposed to Abortion: Sarah Palin and Rick Santorum.
Most White Middle class women never have an abortion. Upper Class women almost NEVER have one. Abortions are confined first and foremost to Black women, and secondarily to White working class women. There is an ugly history of Eugenics and forced sterilization around the Planned Parenthood movement, and Margaret Sanger (an enthusiastic proponent of both). Yet despite this, most women perceive abortion as their safety net, their last ditch “out” in case the worst happens: a Beta Male gets them pregnant during a one-night stand. Or the Alpha of their dreams who gets them pregnant turns out to be … horrors! A Beta Male. Nothing worse than that.
After all, Kevin Federline has five kids. One illegitimately by Shar Jackson, actress/dancer. Two legit kids by Britney Spears during their marriage. And two by his current paramour, model and athlete Victoria Prince. Levi Johnson, aka “Ricky Hollywood” who impregnated Bristol Palin, has reputedly another illegitimate kid. Women entangled with such men don’t run to get abortions when the fathers are low-lives, layabouts, drug dealers, and so on. It is generally women who find themselves suddenly pregnant, with a kid by a guy they don’t find sexy and are unwilling to choose as a partner, versus whatever Alpha may come along. Then, it makes perfect sense to get an abortion. To be able to continue to chase an Alpha.
This is what drives the fury at say, the Komen Foundation declining to further donate to Planned Parenthood. Or the hatred in part of Sarah Palin and Rick Santorum. And it is entirely the strategy of Barack Obama. Who cannot govern, but like all Democratic Politicians banks on the Abortion vote by women to drive turnout and votes.
So from this perspective, the more Obama is pilloried by Catholics for “forcing them” to close or violate their conscience and provide Abortions and contraceptives, the better he likes it. Better for him, to be seen as the tribune ever expanding women’s emergency safety to abort any Beta Male fetus. Even among sedate, married, and past fertility upper class women, who never availed themselves of such a service, nor would they, settling for a guy without the sex appeal but the stability and earning power to create and maintain wealth, this freedom must be expanded or it dies, is the feeling.
After all, Mimi Alford’s memoir detailing her affair with JFK, including losing her virginity to him, has best-seller written all over it. One can’t pursue an Alpha encumbered by some kid by a Beta Male. That at least is the fantasy, even among Upper Class women who would never in the world consider risking their entire family’s fortune on a disaster like divorce or co-habitation with kids but not marriage.
Will Obama’s bet pay out? I don’t know. Rising Gas prices with any tension with Iran, let alone active war, will also have an effect. As will rising food prices, no real increase in wages, and a sluggish job market dominated by low-wage hiring among mostly illegals and American Hispanics (Mexicans) in low-wage industries. Obama can’t deliver growth, for fear of upsetting his wealthy Hollywood and Silicon Valley pals. He can’t provide a military victory, his friends on the Left demand defeat. And he himself finds victory appalling. All he has left is to make a play with women, on the biggest emotional issue that he has left.