Why do gun bans fail, all the time? Save Japan? The answer is simple human nature. Guns are very useful objects, and people want them. There is a global supply of guns, and gun manufacturers globally, including Russia, Ukraine, Hungary, Romania, China, Pakistan, and other places are happy to supply guns to the world. In Africa the AK-47 goes for about $50 or so. Criminal networks are happy to smuggle guns where they can reap profits, as they do for non-tax cigarettes, drugs, semi-enslaved prostitutes, and other contraband. Human nature guarantees gun bans always fail. Save Japan.
Why is Japan alone the exception to the rule for gun bans? Because Japan alone reduces the desire for guns. The Tokugawa Shogunate, after using guns with a peasant army to defeat dynastic rivals, then outlawed them, to preserve Samurai advantages and prevent the peasants from becoming “uppity.” Along with mass killings of Christians, and expulsion of all foreigners, and strict limits on foreign influence, the Tokugawas put Japan into a deep slumber during the Edo Period. Ending when Commodore Perry’s Black Fleet appeared in Tokyo Bay, and humiliatingly created a surrender by Japan to America’s terms of trade and engagement. Launching in turn the overthrow of the Tokugawas, and the Meiji Restoration (in the sense the Emperor was restored to actual power not figurehead status) that re-armed Japan. As the ruling Japanese elite was painfully aware, all Japan had was rusted out old cannons about three centuries out of date from (then) Commodore Perry’s modern arsenal in modern, steam powered warships.
Guns were still out of reach of the ordinary Japanese, because Japan is a country unlike any other. Japan, alone, faces no real threat of massive amounts of foreigners simply coming into their country and taking over. Japan is racially homogenous. There are not masses of people in Japan who feel racially oppressed and desire racial vengeance. There is no Japanese equivalent of Jamie Foxx making a movie where he “kills all the Japanese people, how cool is that?” Crime is low in Japan, because social pressure is intense, and backed up by the Japanese state. Even the gangsters are strictly regulated, in how they can behave socially, and many areas of life are off limits to them, even though they have considerable financial power. Women can wander around, mostly unmolested, though they are regularly groped on the subways, in ways that women in the West cannot. To understand Japan, imagine the United States made up entirely of clones of say, a Midwestern Pharmacist. There might be drunkenness, or acting out, but nothing seriously dangerous. Though they can certainly afford it, no one really wants a gun in Japan because there is really, no need. Everything is really, really safe.
That safety comes with enormous, pressure cooker style social needs to conform absolutely to what everyone else does. And social control over daily life that most Westerners let alone Americans would find intrusive, insulting, and repulsive. Group think is how things are done in Japan, and the idea of committing suicide because you failed to make good enough grades in an exam in the equivalent of junior high makes perfect sense there. But is incomprehensible to the West. But the safety is there. At great cost, perhaps, but it exists. And as a result, Japanese do not desire guns.
In China, peasants are still mostly too poor to want guns. As they become richer, that will change. Certainly, a peasant with a gun is a match for a corrupt official in league with bandits, historically and currently the pattern of Chinese life. And certainly, Chinese have had LOTS of guns, lots and lots, in the past. Notably in the Taipeng Rebellion, killing perhaps 20 million with Civil War style muzzle loading muskets. Peasants in Africa want guns, and despite being desperately poor, find them whenever they can, on the global market, because having a gun or not can be the difference between alive or dead. Besides, various ethnic group armies fighting over resources buy guns on the global arms market. Africa is awash in guns despite (or perhaps because of) being desperately poor.
Misha Glenny in McMafia writes that most of the economy of Montenegro, and much of the other Balkan States, is made up of cigarette smuggling. Through various loopholes, American and other Western cigarettes are imported, tax-free, to places like Egypt. Where they are sent to the Balkans to be smuggled into Italy and Western Europe and sold tax-free. Glenny writes he himself personally bought non-tax cigarettes in the UK easily, and that they can be found with little trouble all over the United Kingdom. At half the price or less than the official, taxed versions.
The global criminal networks are stunning their scope and level of cooperation. Mostly, they don’t war with each other (the exception being the Mexican cartel wars over drugs and other activity legal and not). There is too much money being made to war constantly. Places like Dubai, or Cyprus, exist mostly as money laundering facilities for everyone from the Russians to Al Qaeda to the Mafia to the Triads. Basically, anywhere something is outlawed, and desired, and people will pay for it, criminal networks will make an enormous amount of money smuggling it into the place. This is true for women used as sex-slaves, pre-teen girls used as child prostitutes, diamonds, emeralds, “conflict minerals,” cigarettes, drugs of all types, and yes, guns.
With some of the toughest gun laws in Europe, Anders Breivik (certifiably insane, mcmafiaper the Norwegian Court that tried him) obtained his guns legally, by belonging to a pistol and rifle club(there is some suggestion bribe money was paid to obtain permission despite being nuts). He had made an abortive attempt in Prague to obtain guns illegally, but found none. He would have been better off looking at places like Transnistria, or his own local drug suppliers, who are well armed against rivals, and have pipelines to gun suppliers in Russia, the Ukraine, Moldova, and the afore-mentioned Transnistria.
How hard is it to smuggle guns into a country that outlaws civilian possession? Well, I give you Mexico, where civilian gun ownership is banned, and the drug wars death toll is somewhere between 50,000 and 100,000. No one knows the death toll for sure. Mexico is awash in guns, all happily supplied by international criminal networks. And not just single shot shot-guns either. Nope, fully automatic AK-47s, and M16s, and FAL rifles, and the German G3, are commonly involved in drug related shoot-outs.
If there is money and desire, criminal organizations will supply it.
Britain’s gun crime rate is double that of the pre-Dunblane rate and a full 89% over the last decade. Street robberies are up, so are home and business invasions by armed criminals. While self-defense even without a gun is basically outlawed. Lie back and think of England is perhaps a coping strategy for women, but for men it is effective castration. For obvious reasons — a man who submits to the violence inflicted by another man can only get back his status and power among women by … inflicting even more violence, often at sickening and gratuitous levels. Ugly perhaps, but human and primate sexual nature. As the report notes, carrying guns among gangs is now commonplace. You can thank the gun ban and the efficient, and highly profitable gun trade alongside the drug trade for that development.
So what can be done to curb violence, and in particular, violent shootings?
Basically, act Japanese. That is, follow the rules below:
- Maintain rigorously a racially homogenous society.
- Maintain rigorously a class-uniform society, with strong solidarity amongst all classes which are fairly flat and close together.
- Require elites to at least pay lip service to non-elites, and refrain from excessive ostentation which creates social distance and disunity.
- Create and maintain safety, and severe social limits on criminals, outlaws, enforced rigorously and non-corruptly by the state.
- Keep foreigners, and foreign influences, out of the country.
These are not very complicated. But for most Western societies, they are too hard to accomplish. Not the least of which the elites in the West will never adhere to any of them, particularly the limits on their ostentation nor requirements to pay lip service to non-elite interests.
Thus in any Western society, the best that can be accomplished is a sort of Edwardian to Georgian England, a society temporarily cut off from foreigners, that has “noblesse oblige” and a relatively flat, relatively united, and relatively CRIME FREE society. That of England circa say, 1910 to 1960. A scant fifty years. No one in England say, in the years 1968, or 1808, or 1888, or 1778, would have described the place as “crime free.” And guns were there aplenty. They still are, as we see above.
The presence of guns, in ordinary people’s lives, is therefore a marker of the failure or success of elites to provide the above. A safe, secure, united, and homogenous society. There is zero chance of anyone providing that in Western nations now. Not with millions of non-Whites who really, hate hate hate Whites, and mostly fail at economic success (because they are not able to emulate nerdy White and Asian beta males in cooperating and gaining renumerative skills).
Criminal networks are quite happy though. Guns are fairly easy to smuggle, compared to drugs (as simple steel, plastic, and aluminum, they can’t be sniffed out by dogs amidst all the other … steel, plastic, and aluminum stuff including the ones on the handlers hips). They’re in demand. By criminals and fed-up civilians. [The late Eric Ambler in “A Kind of Anger” notes that French people in the countryside routinely kept a loaded revolver in the glove compartment for “emergencies.”] Business is good. The Western Elites are a miserable failure.
And that state of affairs is likely to continue for centuries.